Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.044175 0.050947 0.057970 0.065763 0.074136 0.082832 0.092514
2025-06-29 0.034891 0.045050 0.056232 0.069290 0.083967 0.099816 0.118090
2025-07-06 0.027195 0.038980 0.052656 0.069312 0.088697 0.110240 0.135694
2025-07-13 0.024891 0.038515 0.054927 0.075483 0.099946 0.127617 0.160793
2025-07-20 0.019195 0.032959 0.050370 0.072953 0.100556 0.132422 0.171266
2025-07-27 0.017242 0.031918 0.051128 0.076629 0.108335 0.145408 0.191057
2025-08-03 0.014581 0.029504 0.049817 0.077479 0.112502 0.154001 0.205633
2025-08-10 0.012103 0.026978 0.048074 0.077544 0.115521 0.161094 0.218346
2025-08-17 0.009611 0.024028 0.045453 0.076222 0.116615 0.165719 0.228013
2025-08-24 0.006885 0.020169 0.041157 0.072343 0.114199 0.165856 0.232125
2025-08-31 0.005036 0.017408 0.038166 0.069995 0.113559 0.168028 0.238570
2025-09-07 0.003864 0.015646 0.036511 0.069363 0.115054 0.172782 0.248109
2025-09-14 0.002792 0.013905 0.034924 0.069044 0.117349 0.179082 0.260286
2025-09-21 0.002501 0.013948 0.036340 0.073233 0.125910 0.193589 0.282948
2025-09-28 0.001753 0.012517 0.035077 0.073339 0.128857 0.200903 0.296692
2025-10-05 0.001801 0.013387 0.037928 0.079726 0.140517 0.219519 0.324660
2025-10-12 0.001008 0.011206 0.035015 0.077116 0.139584 0.221760 0.332040
2025-10-19 0.000871 0.011232 0.036215 0.080912 0.147638 0.235734 0.354250
2025-10-26 0.000577 0.010378 0.035610 0.081789 0.151534 0.244253 0.369569
2025-11-02 0.000326 0.009366 0.034552 0.081856 0.154225 0.251159 0.382832
2025-11-09 0.000123 0.008066 0.032698 0.080492 0.154769 0.255166 0.392361
2025-11-16 0.000007 0.006275 0.029407 0.076486 0.151294 0.253678 0.394736
2025-11-23 NaN 0.005058 0.027151 0.074060 0.150012 0.255042 0.400715